Penfolds Victoria Derby Day 29 Oct 2022

My Notebook

Schedule Tips Tickets
Race 2 1:00 PM 2500 GROUP3

LEXUS ARCHER STAKES

Expert
David Gately
7. REALM OF FLOWERS
T: Anthony & S Freedman
J: D Thornton (55kg)
1. ALEGRON
T: J Cummings
J: W Buick (59kg)
8. SUREFIRE
T: C Waller
J: J McDonald (55kg)
Expert
David Gately

One of Australia's most respected form analysts, David Gately has been in the industry for over 17 years. Now part of Network 10's Carnival broadcast team, he is definitely one to follow.

Author
AI
Predictor
8. SUREFIRE
T: C Waller
J: J McDonald (55kg)
1. ALEGRON
T: J Cummings
J: W Buick (59kg)
10. INTERPRETATION
T: C Maher & D Eustace
J: B Melham (54kg)
AI
Predictor

Our AI predictor analyses the past performances of each horse to determine how the race should be run. Outcomes are based on sectional data alone. Results are a prediction only and not guaranteed.

Author
VRC Member
Nat Welsh
1. ALEGRON
T: J Cummings
J: W Buick (59kg)
5. WARNING
T: Anthony & S Freedman
J: D Oliver (56kg)
8. SUREFIRE
T: C Waller
J: J McDonald (55kg)
VRC Member
Nat Welsh

Nat Welsh has been a VRC Member since 2019. Her favourite Spring Carnival race day is Derby Day, however, has a fond memory of the 1992 Melbourne Cup with Subzero taking the crown.

Author
Race 2 Overview

MAKRAM (6) powered home late at Geelong from a long way back and now draws a better alley. Should be much closer in the run this time, the pace looks strong, and he gets his chance to turn things around on SUREFIRE (8) who was a place ahead of him at Geelong. Ran well there and must have a strong chance again for his top connections. ALEGRON (1) never got involved in the Caulfield Cup but his win prior says he is right up to this and so does his second in the Derby on this day last year. They have taken hold of INTERPRETATION (10) in both the Bart Cummings and Geelong Cup and he has been left flat footed in both. Now the blinkers go on and that can bring about a change of tactics and a change of result. REALM OF FLOWERS (7) ran well in the Metropolitan and has a chance.

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