TAB BLAMEY STAKES
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Impossible race. CARINI (14) is a nice horse who hit the line well first up over 1400m in the Elms. D Lane sticks with him and out to a mile suits much better. He has some upside and did win here over 1700m second up last time in. AYRTON (5) steps out to a mile for the first time in a while, solid behind Mr Brightside in the G1 CF Orr last start. Should get a soft run just behind the speed and be thereabouts again. ATISHU (2) was poor first up in the Orr, beaten 6 lengths but she's a G1 winning mare who is much better suited up in trip. Can bounce back. BERKELEY SQUARE (11) was solid in the Elms first up and can improve while MAKRAM (8) must be respected having won the Elms, albeit at 150-1.
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Railway Stakes winner. Last start ran last of 9 at Caulfield in the G1 C F Orr on February 10 over 1400m, 6 len behind Mr Brightside carrying 59kg at $26. The run before that ran on strongly from last on the turn; 4th of 16 at Ascot in the G3 Gold Rush on December 16 over 1400m, 2 len behind Munhamek with 59kg at $10. On his best form has excellent prospects.
Champions Stakes winner. Dual acceptor. Second run back. First-up after three months second last of 9 at Caulfield in the G1 C F Orr on February 10 over 1400m, 6 len behind Mr Brightside with 57kg at $12. Previously second-up 2nd of 8 at Rosehill in the G2 Gold Pend on September 23 over 1400m, 2.5 len behind Espiona carrying 58kg at $5. Her best would win this.
Group 3 winner. Gelding returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last campaign 15th of 23 at this track in the G1 Melb Cup November 7 over 3200m, 14 len behind Without A Fight with 50kg at $17. First up last campaign seventh of 15 at Sandown-Hillside Bm78 June 10 over 1600m, soft track; 2 len behind Flash Flood carrying 60kg at $21. Among the better chances.
Multiple Group 3 winner. First-up. Finished off last preparation sixth of 8 at Caulfield in the G2 Sand Clssc December 2 over 2400m, soft track; 8 len behind Military Mission with 58kg at $3.50. Previous preparation first-up favourite; won by 1.5 len this track Bm78 September 24 over 1630m defeating Gregolimo with 59kg at $19. Good horse who will improve off this.
Multiple Group 3 winner. At the latest run sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 9 at Caulfield in the G1 C F Orr on February 10 over 1400m, 2.75 len behind Mr Brightside carrying 59kg at $19. The race before that won by a nose at Caulfield LR Barton Stks January 26 over 1400m defeating Ka Bling with 58kg at $3.80. Rates a key winning chance.
Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming ran last of 8 at Caulfield in the LR Barton Stks on January 26 over 1400m, 3.5 len behind Ayrton carrying 55.5kg at $17. Second-up ran last of 11 at this track in the LR The Elms Hcp on February 17 over 1400m, 7 len behind Makram with 56.5kg at $81. A better showing is expected.
Group 3 placegetter. Resuming. Finished off last campaign won by 2.5 len Ballarat LR Brat Cup December 9 over 2000m in the wet defeating Young Werther carrying 54kg at $3.50. Previously first up; second of 8 at Ballarat Gold Nugget September 22 over 1600m, 1.75 len behind Ascension with 54kg at $7.50. Looking to others for the winner.
Group 2 placegetter. Second-up. First-up after four months was well back until straightening; raced back then made ground from the turn; won by 0.5 len at this track LR The Elms Hcp February 17 over 1400m defeating Jimmysstar with 55.5kg at $151. Previously second-up 6th of 15 at this track Hcp on September 16 over 1700m, 3.5 len behind Carini carrying 58kg at $12. Won at huge odds first up and must be a chance to repeat.
Group 3 placegetter. Form hard to fault. Comes here off a 35-day let-up. At the latest run 4th of 13 at Ellerslie Aetaroa Clsc on January 27 over 1600m, 10 len behind Desert Lightning carrying 57.5kg at $15.50. The start before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily; won by 0.8 len at Geelong Hcp January 6 over 1700m defeating Bermadez with 53kg at $3. Genuine chance this time around.
Group 1 winner. First-up. Finished off last campaign fifth of 7 at Sha Tin in the G3 Premier Plt June 25 over 1800m, 2.5 len behind Tuchel with 60kg at $12. Previously first up; eighth of 12 at Sha Tin in the G3 Qn Mthr Mem May 7 over 2400m, soft track; 7 len behind Straight Arron carrying 59.5kg at $18. Will need this run.
Group 2 winner. Second run back. First-up after four months 5th of 11 at this track in the LR The Elms Hcp on February 17 over 1400m, 3 len behind Makram carrying 56.5kg at $26. Previously second-up came from midfield; 3rd of 15 at Caulfield Bm100 on August 19 over 1600m, 1.0 len behind Jimmy The Bear carrying 58kg at $3.50. Suited by the rise in trip.
Group 1 placegetter. Resuming after a break of three-and-a-half months. Finished off last preparation 14th of 16 at Caulfield Countrycup November 18 over 2000m, 7 len behind Claidheamh Mor with 58kg at $19. Previously first up; eighth of 14 at Caulfield Bm100 September 2 over 1400m, 4.5 len behind Devoted with 56.5kg at $19. Looks tested without a run under the belt.
Group 3 placegetter. Resuming after a break of six-and-a-half months. Finished off last campaign failed to finish at Coleraine Mdn Hdle-Sw August 13 over 3300m. When resuming last campaign fifth of 7 at Pakenham Mdn Hdle-Sw July 16 over 3200m, soft track; 7 len behind That's Incranibull with 69.5kg at $1.60. Major upset if he won.
Second-up. First-up after four months 4th of 11 at this track in the LR The Elms Hcp on February 17 over 1400m, 1.2 len behind Makram with 54kg at $26. Previously second-up won by a neck at this track Hcp September 16 over 1700m defeating Sibaaq with 53kg at $2.50. Suited by this trip now. Good chance.
Comes off a 29 day let-up. At the latest run won by a nose at Canterbury F&M Bm72 February 2 over 1550m defeating Cirebon carrying 59.5kg at $6.50. Before that 4th of 11 at Kembla Grange Bm64 on January 13 over 1400m, 4.5 len behind Tavs with 62kg at $19. Hard to make a case today.