MELBOURNE CUP CARNIVAL COUNTRY FINAL
OH TOO GOOD (5) is a lightly raced 5yo mare who resumed with a very strong win over 1500m in the Geelong qualifier. Posted a good rating there and given she's only had five starts there's every chance she improves again. HIYAAM PROUD (14) tried hard behind Oh Too Good and was only first-up as well there. He too is lightly raced and can figure. HOOAH HAVANA (11) looks one at odds that can run well. He ran on well behind a smart mare in Yellow Sam at Bendigo over 1400m and getting to a mile now suits ideally. WILLMOTT (10) has won three in a row now and gets a beautiful map for Shinn which will see him take beating. VALOIS (1) is very consistent and can't be discounted.
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Recent form sound. Last start favourite; raced right near the speed and boxed on; won by a nose at Horsham Bm70 October 20 over 1400m defeating Ten Commandments with 61.5kg at $3.80. The race before that sat on the pace when 2nd of 11 at Sandown-Hillside Bm78 on September 18 over 1400m, long-neck behind Sunset Dreaming with 57kg at $10. Racing well and can go on with it.
Second-up. Comes off a 41-day let-up. First-up after four months favourite; came from midfield and won by 0.5 len at Benalla Bm70 September 27 over 1406m defeating Let Fly carrying 61kg at $3.30. Previously second-up eased back early on 8th of 10 at Sandown-Lakeside 4yo+ Bm64 on November 29 over 1200m, on a slow track; 6 len behind South Of Houston carrying 60kg at $3.50. Minor chance.
Useful type. At the latest run came from midfield and won by a head at Sale Bm70 October 27 over 1400m defeating San Marino with 60.5kg at $13. The race before that 8th of 10 at Ballarat Bm70 on October 17 over 1400m, 2.75 len behind The Shaper with 61kg at $9.50. Chance with the aid of an inside draw.
At the latest run won by 0.5 len at Hamilton Bm70 October 12 over 1600m defeating Torranzino with 60.5kg at $15. The start before that 3rd of 13 at Sandown-Hillside Bm70 on September 18 over 1800m, 1.75 len behind Dublin Journal carrying 60.5kg at $13. Each way claims.
Second-up. First-up after six months favourite; won by 1.75 len at Geelong Mcc Heat (Qc) October 23 over 1500m defeating Hiyaam Proud with 56.5kg at $3. Previously second-up 2nd of 12 at Pakenham Cl3-Sw on February 29 over 1400m, 0.8 len behind Mislead carrying 55.5kg at $10. Very promising mare who looks the one to beat.
Last start 4th of 12 at Sale Bm70 on October 27 over 1200m, 2.25 len behind He's Handsome with 63kg at $21. The run before that came from midfield and won by a long-neck at Seymour Bm70 Hcp October 13 over 1400m defeating Kahhof with 60.5kg at $17. Looking elsewhere.
Useful type. Most recently came home strongly from last on the turn; 3rd of 11 at Geelong Mcc Heat (Qc) on October 23 over 1500m, 3.5 len behind Oh Too Good carrying 57.5kg at $11. Before that led to the turn then faded 6th of 11 at Sandown-Hillside Bm78 on September 28 over 1800m, 4.5 len behind Kingswood carrying 58kg at $5.50. Will be running on.
Going well. At the latest run 2nd of 12 at Seymour Bm70 Hcp on October 13 over 1400m, long-neck behind Titan Of Choice carrying 61.5kg at $3.50. The race before that favourite; won by a neck at Sandown-Hillside C,G&E Bm64 September 18 over 1300m defeating Sacramental carrying 62kg at $2.50. In form and will be hard to beat.
At the latest run ran on strongly from last on the turn; 4th of 9 at Bendigo Bm78 on October 30 over 1400m, 2 len behind Yellow Sam carrying 57kg at $21. The start before that made ground from midfield; 3rd of 10 at Horsham Bm70 on October 20 over 1400m, 1.0 len behind Valois carrying 61kg at $9.50. Racing well, don't discount.
On a three run winning streak. At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily; won by a nose at Horsham Bm70 October 20 over 1400m defeating Ten Commandments with 59kg at $6.50. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily; won by 0.8 len at Bendigo 0 - 64 September 25 over 1300m defeating Reprisal with 60kg at $3.50. Going very well, must respect.
Useful type. Last start 2nd of 9 at Bendigo Bm78 on October 30 over 1400m, 1.0 len behind Yellow Sam carrying 55.5kg at $6. The start before that crossed from a wide gate to settle just off the pace but gave ground when 4th of 14 at Hamilton Bm70 on October 12 over 1600m, 2.5 len behind Magarten carrying 60kg at $5.50. Impressed last start. Coming along well and wouldn't shock at odds.
Useful type. Last start 2nd of 14 at Hamilton Bm70 on October 12 over 1600m, 0.5 len behind Magarten carrying 60kg at $5. Before that 6th of 13 at this track Bm70 on September 22 over 1630m, 1.1 len behind Haaracaine carrying 60kg at $19. Has each way claims.
Comes here off a 33-day let-up. Most recently favourite; tracked the speed and boxed on steadily; won by a long-neck at Murtoa Bm64 October 5 over 1600m defeating Eskimo with 60kg at $4. The race before that 2nd of 13 at Benalla Bm64 on September 27 over 1606m, nose behind Ultimate Kiss with 60kg at $16. Back in form but needs to go to another level.
Second run back. First-up after four months 2nd of 11 at Geelong Mcc Heat (Qc) on October 23 over 1500m, 1.75 len behind Oh Too Good with 55kg at $11. Previously second-up won by a long-neck at Eagle Farm 3yo Bm70 May 8 over 1800m on a soft track defeating Ring Me Up with 58.5kg at $2.60. Fitter for that run and will be tough to beat.
At the latest run 3rd of 9 at Swan Hill Bm64 on October 29 over 1600m, 2.5 len behind Bunjil with 60.5kg at $2.50. Before that rolled along in front then was edged out late 2nd of 12 at Murtoa Bm64 on October 5 over 1600m, long-neck behind Cruz Missile carrying 60kg at $8.50. Thereabouts last time but others are preferred.
Last start 2nd of 14 at Sale Bm70 on October 27 over 1400m, head behind Eye Of The Eagle carrying 58kg at $4.50. The race before that raced right near the speed and boxed on; won by 2 len at Pakenham Bm64 October 18 over 1400m in heavy going defeating Smart Deel with 59kg at $5.50. Likely to struggle against this line-up.
Most recently raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 9 at Bendigo Bm78 on October 30 over 1400m, 1.5 len behind Yellow Sam carrying 55.5kg at $4.50. The race before that ran on from midfield; 3rd of 14 at Hamilton Bm70 on October 12 over 1600m, 1.5 len behind Magarten carrying 59.5kg at $9. Wouldn't shock if he ran a good race.
Last start 5th of 9 at Bendigo Bm78 on October 30 over 1400m, 2.75 len behind Yellow Sam with 57.5kg at $21. The run before that 6th of 10 at Moe Bm78 on October 18 over 1200m, on a slow track; 2.5 len behind Flying Mikki carrying 58kg at $5. Has a nice gate but this will test.
Last start 5th of 10 at Horsham Bm70 on October 20 over 1400m, 1.4 len behind Valois carrying 58.5kg at $4. The run before that came from midfield and won by a long-neck at Bendigo Bm64 October 6 over 1300m defeating Changing Colours with 59.5kg at $3. Each way chance.